Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Owen Carapellotti

TOR · Single-A · C

Bats L · Throws R
PB Rank#1,500Overall ranking
Baseline49Uncertain outcome
Trend-12.8Falling
Confidence57Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor47Lower-end outcome
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is cooling.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 49, between a 47 Floor and 59 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.

What to Watch

Track whether the recent projection decline stabilizes.

Performance

Selected evidence
52Developing performance profile
Power.307 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact27.0% KNear expected range
Approach15.3% BBStrong on-base approach
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreDeveloping45Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskHigh12Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelSingle-A
PositionC
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 49 Change 0.0
53 49 45 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-10-05 · Median 49 2026-10-07 · Median 49 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0749
2026-10-0549
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549