Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Hansel Rincon

NYY · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,524
Score51.4
Baseline50
Signal+7.7
Trend+0.2
Floor42
Baseline50
Ceiling59
Confidence58 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Hansel Rincon

NYY · High-A · P

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 24.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,524
Prospect Score51.4
Median50
Performance Signal+7.7
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
425059
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 50
60 52.5 45 2026-08-16 · Median 54 2026-08-17 · Median 54 2026-08-18 · Median 54 2026-08-19 · Median 54 2026-08-20 · Median 54 2026-08-22 · Median 55 2026-08-23 · Median 54.6 2026-08-25 · Median 54.6 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 53 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 49.3 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1449.3
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0253
2026-09-0153
2026-08-2856
2026-08-2756
2026-08-2554.6
2026-08-2354.6
2026-08-2255
2026-08-2054
2026-08-1954
2026-08-1854
2026-08-1754
2026-08-1654

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
425059
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection50.9
Projected range26–76
Arrival probability11%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.