Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Elijah Green

WSH · AA · CF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,546
Score51.3
Baseline49
Signal-16.0
Trend+0.2
Floor42
Baseline49
Ceiling56
Confidence62 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Elijah Green

WSH · AA · CF

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 22.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,546
Prospect Score51.3
Median49
Performance Signal-16.0
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
424956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -16.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 49
61 51.5 42 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 57 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 55.6 2026-08-25 · Median 55.6 2026-08-27 · Median 57 2026-08-28 · Median 57 2026-09-01 · Median 54 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 49.1 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1449.1
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0254
2026-09-0154
2026-08-2857
2026-08-2757
2026-08-2555.6
2026-08-2355.6
2026-08-2256
2026-08-2057
2026-08-1946
2026-08-1846
2026-08-1746
2026-08-1646

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
424956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -16.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection21.7
Projected range4–39
Arrival probability28%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.