Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Daniel Lopez

KC · Single-A · LF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,595
Score50.8
Baseline47
Signal-4.8
Trend-0.6
Floor40
Baseline47
Ceiling54
Confidence58 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Daniel Lopez

KC · Single-A · LF

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 21.1 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,595
Prospect Score50.8
Median47
Performance Signal-4.8
Trend-0.6

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.6
404754
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 38 Latest recorded 47
55 44.5 34 2026-08-16 · Median 38 2026-08-17 · Median 38 2026-08-18 · Median 38 2026-08-19 · Median 38 2026-08-20 · Median 50 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 50.4 2026-08-25 · Median 50.4 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2850
2026-08-2750
2026-08-2550.4
2026-08-2350.4
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2050
2026-08-1938
2026-08-1838
2026-08-1738
2026-08-1638

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.6
404754
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection33.3
Projected range15–52
Arrival probability11%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.