Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Paul Gutierrez-Contreras II

NYY · Single-A · OF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

Rank#1,567
Score51.1
Baseline49
Signal+5.4
Trend0.0
Floor40
Baseline49
Ceiling59
Confidence44 Risk23 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Paul Gutierrez-Contreras II

NYY · Single-A · OF

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 21.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#1,567
Prospect Score51.1
Median49
Performance Signal+5.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
404959
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +5.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 49
54 47 40 2026-08-20 · Median 46 2026-08-22 · Median 46 2026-08-23 · Median 44.7 2026-08-25 · Median 44.3 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 49.8 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1449.8
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2544.3
2026-08-2344.7
2026-08-2246
2026-08-2046

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 44
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 23
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
404959
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +5.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 23
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence44
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.