Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Elian Soto

WSH · Single-A · LF · Age 21

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score50.6#1,617 Overall
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Performance49Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor41Lower-end outcome
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Ceiling56High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
49Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.824 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact30.2% KContact risk
Approach16.7% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh16Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection30.2
Projected Range12–49
Arrival Probability3%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelSingle-A
PositionLF
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 48
58 51 44 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48.4 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-10-05 · Median 48 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0548
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.4
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0354
2026-09-0254