Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Irving Cota

NYM · Single-A · P

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 22.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,620
Prospect Score50.6
Median47
Performance Signal+11.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
394755
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 47
54 46.5 39 2026-06-04 · Median 49 2026-06-05 · Median 49 2026-06-06 · Median 49 2026-06-07 · Median 49 2026-06-08 · Median 49 2026-06-09 · Median 49 2026-06-10 · Median 49 2026-06-11 · Median 49.4 2026-08-27 · Median 44 2026-08-28 · Median 44 2026-09-01 · Median 44 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 43 2026-09-05 · Median 43 2026-09-06 · Median 43 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47.2 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-06-04 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447.2
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0643
2026-09-0543
2026-09-0343
2026-09-0244
2026-09-0144
2026-08-2844
2026-08-2744
2026-06-1149.4
2026-06-1049
2026-06-0949
2026-06-0849
2026-06-0749
2026-06-0649
2026-06-0549
2026-06-0449

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 53
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 16
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
394755
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 16
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence53
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.8
Projected range20–70
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.