Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

D.J. McCarty

TEX · AA · P

Texas Rangers · Age at assessment: 24.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,630
Prospect Score50.5
Median49
Performance Signal-18.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
424955
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -18.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 49
53 47 41 2026-08-10 · Median 47 2026-08-11 · Median 47 2026-08-13 · Median 47 2026-08-14 · Median 47 2026-08-16 · Median 47 2026-08-17 · Median 47 2026-08-18 · Median 47 2026-08-19 · Median 47 2026-08-20 · Median 48.7 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 48.7 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-08-10 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1448.7
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2048.7
2026-08-1947
2026-08-1847
2026-08-1747
2026-08-1647
2026-08-1447
2026-08-1347
2026-08-1147
2026-08-1047

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
424955
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -18.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection40.8
Projected range18–64
Arrival probability19%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.