Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jose Pena Jr.

PHI · High-A · P · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score50.5#1,628 Overall
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Performance59Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor40Lower-end outcome
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Ceiling61High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
59Solid current performance
Miss ability12.6 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.8 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention0.99 WHIPStrong traffic prevention

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping50How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid44Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.2
Projected Range20–70
Arrival Probability5%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationPhiladelphia Phillies
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 50
55 50.5 46 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 50.1 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-10-05 · Median 50 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0550
2026-10-0450
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2026-09-0950
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251