Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Alex Bouchard

BOS · AA · P · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score50.5#1,633 Overall
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Performance41Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor42Lower-end outcome
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Ceiling55High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
41Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.6 K/9Near expected range
Command4.8 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.6 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection37.6
Projected Range13–62
Arrival Probability11%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationBoston Red Sox
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 39 Latest recorded 49
53 44 35 2026-09-02 · Median 39 2026-09-03 · Median 39 2026-09-05 · Median 39 2026-09-06 · Median 39 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 48.5 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-10-05 · Median 49 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0549
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1448.5
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0639
2026-09-0539
2026-09-0339
2026-09-0239