Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Sami Manzueta

HOU · DSL · IF · Age 18

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score50.5#1,636 Overall
Baseline46Most likely outcome
Performance45Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor40Lower-end outcome
Baseline46Most likely outcome
Ceiling52High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
45Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.766 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact23.4% KNear expected range
Approach12.7% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit50
Power40
Run40
Field50
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-24

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh84How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh24Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection39.0
Projected Range21–57
Arrival Probability5%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelDSL
PositionIF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 46
50 45.5 41 2026-09-02 · Median 45 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 45 2026-09-14 · Median 45.5 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-10-04 · Median 46 2026-10-05 · Median 46 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0546
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2026-09-1445.5
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2026-09-0545
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2026-09-0245