Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Spencer Bengard

MIN · AA · P · Age 25

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score49.9#1,696 Overall
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Performance43Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor41Lower-end outcome
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Ceiling55High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
43Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.8 K/9Near expected range
Command4.4 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.63 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh20Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.8
Projected Range21–71
Arrival Probability13%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationMinnesota Twins
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 48
53 48 43 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 48.5 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-10-05 · Median 48 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0548
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.5
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247