Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Geoffrey Gilbert

NYY · AA · P · Age 25

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score50.2#1,662 Overall
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Performance50Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor41Lower-end outcome
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Ceiling55High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
50Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.7 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command5.0 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.6 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid58How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh24Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.0
Projected Range20–70
Arrival Probability7%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Yankees
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 48
52 47.5 43 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47.6 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-10-05 · Median 48 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0548
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1447.6
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247