Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Wilton Guerrero Jr.

PIT · DSL · SS · Age 17

Bats R · Throws R
PB Rank#1,727 OverallCurrent model ranking
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Trend0.0Stable
Confidence56Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor39Lower-end outcome
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Ceiling57High-end outcome

Why He Stands Out

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
50Developing performance profile
Power.075 ISOLimited current game power
Contact11.8% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.391 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
Prospect ScoreDeveloping50Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskSolid29Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection40.8
Projected Range23–59
Arrival Probability6%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationPittsburgh Pirates
LevelDSL
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 48
52 48 44 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-10-05 · Median 48 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0548
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
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2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248