Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Randal Diaz

BAL · High-A · SS

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,761
Score49.3
Baseline46
Signal-3.6
Trend-0.2
Floor39
Baseline46
Ceiling54
Confidence60 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Randal Diaz

BAL · High-A · SS

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 23.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,761
Prospect Score49.3
Median46
Performance Signal-3.6
Trend-0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.2
394654
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 46
53 47.5 42 2026-08-16 · Median 48 2026-08-17 · Median 48 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 47.9 2026-08-25 · Median 47.9 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 47 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 46.7 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-10-04 · Median 46 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0446
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2546
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1446.7
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247
2026-09-0147
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2547.9
2026-08-2347.9
2026-08-2249
2026-08-2049
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1848
2026-08-1748
2026-08-1648

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.2
394654
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection38.1
Projected range23–54
Arrival probability19%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.