Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Fredy Penuelas

NYY · DSL · P · Age 19

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score49.2#1,780 Overall
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Performance58Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor40Lower-end outcome
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Ceiling58High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
58Solid current performance
Miss ability9.7 K/9Near expected range
Dominance18.3% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Traffic prevention1.00 WHIPStrong traffic prevention

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping54How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid38Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection50.2
Projected Range25–75
Arrival Probability4%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Yankees
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 49
53 49 45 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 49 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-10-05 · Median 49 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0549
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