Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Yordanis Guerra

PHI · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,788
Score49.1
Baseline48
Signal-6.6
Trend0.0
Floor40
Baseline48
Ceiling56
Confidence58 Risk27 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Yordanis Guerra

PHI · Single-A · P

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 20.0 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,788
Prospect Score49.1
Median48
Performance Signal-6.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
404856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 40 Latest recorded 48
54 45 36 2026-08-14 · Median 40 2026-08-16 · Median 40 2026-08-17 · Median 40 2026-08-18 · Median 40 2026-08-19 · Median 40 2026-08-20 · Median 50 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 50 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48.3 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-08-14 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.3
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2850
2026-08-2750
2026-08-2350
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2050
2026-08-1940
2026-08-1840
2026-08-1740
2026-08-1640
2026-08-1440

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 27
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
404856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 27
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection46.1
Projected range21–71
Arrival probability11%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.