Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jesus Tillero

LAD · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,795
Score49.0
Baseline47
Signal-11.8
Trend0.0
Floor39
Baseline47
Ceiling54
Confidence60 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jesus Tillero

LAD · Single-A · P

Los Angeles Dodgers · Age at assessment: 20.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,795
Prospect Score49.0
Median47
Performance Signal-11.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
394754
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -11.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 47
52 47 42 2026-07-09 · Median 48 2026-07-11 · Median 48 2026-07-12 · Median 48 2026-07-14 · Median 48 2026-07-16 · Median 48 2026-07-21 · Median 48 2026-07-22 · Median 48 2026-07-23 · Median 48 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 46.7 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-07-09 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1446.7
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-07-2348
2026-07-2248
2026-07-2148
2026-07-1648
2026-07-1448
2026-07-1248
2026-07-1148
2026-07-0948

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
394754
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -11.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection41.8
Projected range17–67
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.