Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Tyce Armstrong

NYY · Single-A · 2B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,857
Score48.6
Baseline47
Signal+6.5
Trend-0.8
Floor37
Baseline47
Ceiling63
Confidence44 Risk35 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Tyce Armstrong

NYY · Single-A · 2B

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,857
Prospect Score48.6
Median47
Performance Signal+6.5
Trend-0.8

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.8
374763
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 40 Latest recorded 47
52 44 36 2026-08-20 · Median 40 2026-08-22 · Median 40 2026-08-23 · Median 40.2 2026-08-25 · Median 40.2 2026-08-27 · Median 40 2026-08-28 · Median 40 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47.4 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447.4
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2840
2026-08-2740
2026-08-2540.2
2026-08-2340.2
2026-08-2240
2026-08-2040

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 44
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 35
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.8
374763
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 35
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence44
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.