Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Brody McCullough

CHC · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,835
Score48.8
Baseline45
Signal+22.3
Trend-0.2
Floor41
Baseline45
Ceiling50
Confidence88 Risk20 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Brody McCullough

CHC · AA · P

Chicago Cubs · Age at assessment: 26.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,835
Prospect Score48.8
Median45
Performance Signal+22.3
Trend-0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.2
414550
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +22.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 32 Latest recorded 45
50 38 26 2026-08-16 · Median 32 2026-08-17 · Median 32 2026-08-18 · Median 32 2026-08-19 · Median 32 2026-08-20 · Median 32 2026-08-22 · Median 32 2026-08-23 · Median 31.6 2026-08-25 · Median 30.9 2026-08-27 · Median 34 2026-08-28 · Median 34 2026-09-01 · Median 34 2026-09-02 · Median 34 2026-09-03 · Median 34 2026-09-05 · Median 34 2026-09-06 · Median 34 2026-09-09 · Median 46 2026-09-14 · Median 45.5 2026-09-15 · Median 45 2026-09-16 · Median 45 2026-09-17 · Median 45 2026-09-18 · Median 45 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 45 2026-10-03 · Median 45 2026-10-04 · Median 45 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0445
2026-10-0345
2026-09-3045
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2546
2026-09-2446
2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1845
2026-09-1745
2026-09-1645
2026-09-1545
2026-09-1445.5
2026-09-0946
2026-09-0634
2026-09-0534
2026-09-0334
2026-09-0234
2026-09-0134
2026-08-2834
2026-08-2734
2026-08-2530.9
2026-08-2331.6
2026-08-2232
2026-08-2032
2026-08-1932
2026-08-1832
2026-08-1732
2026-08-1632

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 88
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 20
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.2
414550
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +22.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 20
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence88
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection49.3
Projected range25–74
Arrival probability15%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.