Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Nick Dumesnil

DET · Single-A · OF · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score48.5#1,886 Overall
Baseline43Most likely outcome
Performance41Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor38Lower-end outcome
Baseline43Most likely outcome
Ceiling48High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
41Developing performance profile
Power.134 ISONear expected range
Contact23.2% KNear expected range
Approach11.6% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit45
Power45
Run55
Field50
Arm45

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-24

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh87How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh12Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection35.5
Projected Range17–54
Arrival Probability3%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationDetroit Tigers
LevelSingle-A
PositionOF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 43 Latest recorded 43
47 42 37 2026-09-02 · Median 43 2026-09-03 · Median 43 2026-09-05 · Median 43 2026-09-06 · Median 43 2026-09-09 · Median 42 2026-09-14 · Median 41.8 2026-09-15 · Median 42 2026-09-16 · Median 42 2026-09-17 · Median 42 2026-09-18 · Median 42 2026-09-19 · Median 42 2026-09-21 · Median 42 2026-09-22 · Median 42 2026-09-24 · Median 43 2026-09-25 · Median 43 2026-09-29 · Median 43 2026-09-30 · Median 43 2026-10-03 · Median 43 2026-10-04 · Median 43 2026-10-05 · Median 43 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 43

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0543
2026-10-0443
2026-10-0343
2026-09-3043
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2026-09-2242
2026-09-2142
2026-09-1942
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2026-09-1542
2026-09-1441.8
2026-09-0942
2026-09-0643
2026-09-0543
2026-09-0343
2026-09-0243