Player Profile
Sam Brown
WSH · AA · 1B · Age 25
Bats L · Throws LProspect Score48.3#1,904 Overall
Baseline46Most likely outcome
Performance44Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor39Lower-end outcome
Baseline46Most likely outcome
Ceiling52High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.
Performance
Selected evidence44Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.743 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact22.9% KNear expected range
Approach13.5% BBStrong on-base approach
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.6
Projected Range21–56
Arrival Probability17%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelAA
Position1B
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 45
Latest recorded 46
2026-10-05 · Median 46
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 46 |
| 2026-10-04 | 46 |
| 2026-10-03 | 46 |
| 2026-09-30 | 46 |
| 2026-09-29 | 46 |
| 2026-09-25 | 46 |
| 2026-09-24 | 46 |
| 2026-09-22 | 46 |
| 2026-09-21 | 46 |
| 2026-09-19 | 46 |
| 2026-09-18 | 46 |
| 2026-09-17 | 46 |
| 2026-09-16 | 46 |
| 2026-09-15 | 46 |
| 2026-09-14 | 46.1 |
| 2026-09-09 | 46 |
| 2026-09-06 | 46 |
| 2026-09-05 | 46 |
| 2026-09-03 | 46 |
| 2026-09-02 | 45 |