Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jan Cabrera

STL · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,912
Score48.3
Baseline46
Signal-6.5
Trend0.0
Floor38
Baseline46
Ceiling53
Confidence56 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jan Cabrera

STL · Single-A · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 21.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,912
Prospect Score48.3
Median46
Performance Signal-6.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384653
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 46
56 46.5 37 2026-08-16 · Median 41 2026-08-17 · Median 41 2026-08-18 · Median 41 2026-08-19 · Median 41 2026-08-20 · Median 52 2026-08-22 · Median 52 2026-08-23 · Median 51.6 2026-08-25 · Median 51.6 2026-08-27 · Median 52 2026-08-28 · Median 52 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 46 2026-09-14 · Median 45.7 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-10-04 · Median 46 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0446
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2546
2026-09-2446
2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1846
2026-09-1746
2026-09-1646
2026-09-1546
2026-09-1445.7
2026-09-0946
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2852
2026-08-2752
2026-08-2551.6
2026-08-2351.6
2026-08-2252
2026-08-2052
2026-08-1941
2026-08-1841
2026-08-1741
2026-08-1641

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 56
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384653
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence56
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.9
Projected range24–74
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.