Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Cam Tilly

NYM · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,917
Score48.2
Baseline43
Signal-3.9
Trend0.0
Floor38
Baseline43
Ceiling49
Confidence88 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Cam Tilly

NYM · Single-A · P

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,917
Prospect Score48.2
Median43
Performance Signal-3.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384349
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 43
50 44.5 39 2026-07-09 · Median 46 2026-07-11 · Median 46 2026-07-12 · Median 46 2026-07-14 · Median 46 2026-07-16 · Median 45 2026-07-21 · Median 45 2026-07-22 · Median 45 2026-07-23 · Median 45 2026-08-27 · Median 43 2026-08-28 · Median 43 2026-09-01 · Median 43 2026-09-02 · Median 43 2026-09-03 · Median 43 2026-09-05 · Median 43 2026-09-06 · Median 43 2026-09-09 · Median 43 2026-09-14 · Median 43.1 2026-09-15 · Median 43 2026-09-16 · Median 43 2026-09-17 · Median 43 2026-09-18 · Median 43 2026-09-19 · Median 43 2026-09-21 · Median 43 2026-09-22 · Median 43 2026-09-24 · Median 43 2026-09-25 · Median 43 2026-09-29 · Median 43 2026-09-30 · Median 43 2026-10-03 · Median 43 2026-10-04 · Median 43 2026-07-09 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 43

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0443
2026-10-0343
2026-09-3043
2026-09-2943
2026-09-2543
2026-09-2443
2026-09-2243
2026-09-2143
2026-09-1943
2026-09-1843
2026-09-1743
2026-09-1643
2026-09-1543
2026-09-1443.1
2026-09-0943
2026-09-0643
2026-09-0543
2026-09-0343
2026-09-0243
2026-09-0143
2026-08-2843
2026-08-2743
2026-07-2345
2026-07-2245
2026-07-2145
2026-07-1645
2026-07-1446
2026-07-1246
2026-07-1146
2026-07-0946

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 88
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384349
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence88
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.2
Projected range22–72
Arrival probability3%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.