Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Melvin Robles

KC · DSL · P · Age 19

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score45.3#2,332 Overall
Baseline45Most likely outcome
Performance50Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor35Lower-end outcome
Baseline45Most likely outcome
Ceiling54High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
50Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.3 K/9Near expected range
Command3.5 BB/9Near expected range
Contact management0.0 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping50How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid38Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection51.8
Projected Range27–77
Arrival Probability2%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationKansas City Royals
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 45
51 45.5 40 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 44 2026-09-05 · Median 44 2026-09-06 · Median 44 2026-09-09 · Median 46 2026-09-14 · Median 46.2 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-10-04 · Median 45 2026-10-05 · Median 45 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0545
2026-10-0445
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2546
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2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1846
2026-09-1746
2026-09-1646
2026-09-1546
2026-09-1446.2
2026-09-0946
2026-09-0644
2026-09-0544
2026-09-0344
2026-09-0244