Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jace Beck

MIA · AAA · P · Age 26

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score47.9#1,963 Overall
Baseline47Most likely outcome
Performance56Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor40Lower-end outcome
Baseline47Most likely outcome
Ceiling58High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
56Solid current performance
Miss ability13.3 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance23.2% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
Contact management1.4 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid62How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh20Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection50.1
Projected Range27–73
Arrival Probability65%
Productive Role Probability17%
Player Background
OrganizationMiami Marlins
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 47
53 45 37 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 41 2026-09-05 · Median 41 2026-09-06 · Median 41 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 47.1 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-10-05 · Median 47 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0547
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
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2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447.1
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0641
2026-09-0541
2026-09-0341
2026-09-0244