Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Mac Horvath

TB · AA · LF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,984
Score47.7
Baseline45
Signal-16.4
Trend-0.2
Floor39
Baseline45
Ceiling52
Confidence61 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Mac Horvath

TB · AA · LF

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 25.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,984
Prospect Score47.7
Median45
Performance Signal-16.4
Trend-0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.2
394552
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -16.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 45
50 45 40 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 44 2026-08-22 · Median 44 2026-08-23 · Median 44 2026-08-25 · Median 44 2026-08-27 · Median 44 2026-08-28 · Median 44 2026-09-01 · Median 44 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 44 2026-09-05 · Median 44 2026-09-06 · Median 44 2026-09-09 · Median 45 2026-09-14 · Median 45.5 2026-09-15 · Median 45 2026-09-16 · Median 45 2026-09-17 · Median 45 2026-09-18 · Median 45 2026-09-19 · Median 45 2026-09-21 · Median 45 2026-09-22 · Median 45 2026-09-24 · Median 45 2026-09-25 · Median 45 2026-09-29 · Median 45 2026-09-30 · Median 45 2026-10-03 · Median 45 2026-10-04 · Median 45 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0445
2026-10-0345
2026-09-3045
2026-09-2945
2026-09-2545
2026-09-2445
2026-09-2245
2026-09-2145
2026-09-1945
2026-09-1845
2026-09-1745
2026-09-1645
2026-09-1545
2026-09-1445.5
2026-09-0945
2026-09-0644
2026-09-0544
2026-09-0344
2026-09-0244
2026-09-0144
2026-08-2844
2026-08-2744
2026-08-2544
2026-08-2344
2026-08-2244
2026-08-2044
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.2
394552
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -16.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection34.5
Projected range17–52
Arrival probability49%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.