Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Charlie Beilenson

SEA · AAA · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score47.8#1,973 Overall
Baseline44Most likely outcome
Performance54Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor40Lower-end outcome
Baseline44Most likely outcome
Ceiling49High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
54Developing performance profile
Miss ability11.0 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command3.8 BB/9Near expected range
Contact management0.8 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball50
Slider45
Changeup55
Control55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-09

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh21Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection48.9
Projected Range24–74
Arrival Probability18%
Productive Role Probability5%
Player Background
OrganizationSeattle Mariners
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 39 Latest recorded 44
49 42 35 2026-09-02 · Median 39 2026-09-03 · Median 39 2026-09-05 · Median 39 2026-09-06 · Median 39 2026-09-09 · Median 45 2026-09-14 · Median 43.8 2026-09-15 · Median 44 2026-09-16 · Median 44 2026-09-17 · Median 44 2026-09-18 · Median 44 2026-09-19 · Median 44 2026-09-21 · Median 44 2026-09-22 · Median 44 2026-09-24 · Median 44 2026-09-25 · Median 44 2026-09-29 · Median 44 2026-09-30 · Median 44 2026-10-03 · Median 44 2026-10-04 · Median 44 2026-10-05 · Median 44 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 44

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0544
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2026-09-1443.8
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