Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Edwilmin Matos

HOU · DSL · OF · Age 19

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score47.7#1,985 Overall
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Performance54Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor38Lower-end outcome
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Ceiling58High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
54Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.910 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
Contact21.8% KNear expected range
Approach15.6% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping50How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid38Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection37.9
Projected Range20–56
Arrival Probability3%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelDSL
PositionOF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 48
53 48 43 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 47.6 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-10-05 · Median 48 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0548
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
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2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
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2026-09-1447.6
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2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0249