Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Dominic Fritton

TB · High-A · P · Age 24

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score47.6#1,989 Overall
Baseline46Most likely outcome
Performance44Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor39Lower-end outcome
Baseline46Most likely outcome
Ceiling56High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
44Developing performance profile
Miss ability11.3 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.3 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.57 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid58How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh20Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection49.9
Projected Range29–71
Arrival Probability28%
Productive Role Probability4%
Player Background
OrganizationTampa Bay Rays
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 46
51 45.5 40 2026-09-02 · Median 45 2026-09-03 · Median 44 2026-09-05 · Median 44 2026-09-06 · Median 44 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 46.4 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-10-04 · Median 46 2026-10-05 · Median 46 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0546
2026-10-0446
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2546
2026-09-2446
2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1846
2026-09-1746
2026-09-1646
2026-09-1546
2026-09-1446.4
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0644
2026-09-0544
2026-09-0344
2026-09-0245