Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Zack Lee

DET · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,999
Score47.6
Baseline45
Signal+7.9
Trend+0.2
Floor37
Baseline45
Ceiling53
Confidence58 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Zack Lee

DET · High-A · P

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 25.8 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,999
Prospect Score47.6
Median45
Performance Signal+7.9
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
374553
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 45
49 35 21 2026-08-16 · Median 26 2026-08-17 · Median 26 2026-08-18 · Median 26 2026-08-19 · Median 26 2026-08-20 · Median 26 2026-08-22 · Median 26 2026-08-23 · Median 26.3 2026-08-25 · Median 26.3 2026-08-27 · Median 26.3 2026-08-28 · Median 26.3 2026-09-01 · Median 26.3 2026-09-02 · Median 26.3 2026-09-03 · Median 26.3 2026-09-05 · Median 26.3 2026-09-06 · Median 25.7 2026-09-09 · Median 45 2026-09-14 · Median 44.6 2026-09-15 · Median 45 2026-09-16 · Median 45 2026-09-17 · Median 45 2026-09-18 · Median 45 2026-09-19 · Median 45 2026-09-21 · Median 45 2026-09-22 · Median 45 2026-09-24 · Median 45 2026-09-25 · Median 45 2026-09-29 · Median 45 2026-09-30 · Median 45 2026-10-03 · Median 45 2026-10-04 · Median 45 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0445
2026-10-0345
2026-09-3045
2026-09-2945
2026-09-2545
2026-09-2445
2026-09-2245
2026-09-2145
2026-09-1945
2026-09-1845
2026-09-1745
2026-09-1645
2026-09-1545
2026-09-1444.6
2026-09-0945
2026-09-0625.7
2026-09-0526.3
2026-09-0326.3
2026-09-0226.3
2026-09-0126.3
2026-08-2826.3
2026-08-2726.3
2026-08-2526.3
2026-08-2326.3
2026-08-2226
2026-08-2026
2026-08-1926
2026-08-1826
2026-08-1726
2026-08-1626

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
374553
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection46.1
Projected range21–71
Arrival probability27%
Productive role probability5%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.