Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Kendrick Herrera

PIT · Single-A · IF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

Rank#2,019
Score47.4
Baseline48
Signal-1.7
Trend0.0
Floor38
Baseline48
Ceiling57
Confidence50 Risk32 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Kendrick Herrera

PIT · Single-A · IF

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 19.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#2,019
Prospect Score47.4
Median48
Performance Signal-1.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384857
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 37 Latest recorded 48
56 44.5 33 2026-08-16 · Median 37 2026-08-17 · Median 37 2026-08-18 · Median 37 2026-08-19 · Median 37 2026-08-20 · Median 52 2026-08-22 · Median 52 2026-08-23 · Median 51.8 2026-08-25 · Median 51.8 2026-08-27 · Median 52 2026-08-28 · Median 52 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48.4 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.4
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2852
2026-08-2752
2026-08-2551.8
2026-08-2351.8
2026-08-2252
2026-08-2052
2026-08-1937
2026-08-1837
2026-08-1737
2026-08-1637

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 50
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 32
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384857
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 32
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence50
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection34.1
Projected range16–53
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.