Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Micah Ottenbreit

PHI · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#2,044
Score47.2
Baseline46
Signal-2.1
Trend-0.2
Floor37
Baseline46
Ceiling54
Confidence53 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Micah Ottenbreit

PHI · High-A · P

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 23.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#2,044
Prospect Score47.2
Median46
Performance Signal-2.1
Trend-0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.2
374654
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 46
54 47.5 41 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 49 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 49.4 2026-08-25 · Median 49.4 2026-08-27 · Median 49 2026-08-28 · Median 49 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 46 2026-09-14 · Median 45.8 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-10-04 · Median 46 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0446
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2546
2026-09-2446
2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1846
2026-09-1746
2026-09-1646
2026-09-1546
2026-09-1445.8
2026-09-0946
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2849
2026-08-2749
2026-08-2549.4
2026-08-2349.4
2026-08-2249
2026-08-2049
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1849
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 53
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.2
374654
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence53
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.4
Projected range20–69
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.