Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Victor Hurtado

WSH · FCL · OF · Age 19

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score47.2#2,056 Overall
Baseline46Most likely outcome
Performance50Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor36Lower-end outcome
Baseline46Most likely outcome
Ceiling56High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
50Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.817 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact19.0% KNear expected range
Approach18.1% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping47How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid32Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection35.1
Projected Range17–53
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelFCL
PositionOF
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 46
51 46.5 42 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 46.6 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-10-04 · Median 46 2026-10-05 · Median 46 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0546
2026-10-0446
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
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2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
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2026-09-1547
2026-09-1446.6
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247