Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Will Bush

HOU · AA · C

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 22.6 · Bats: L · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Power tool translating

Current game power is broadly aligned with the verified power grade

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#646
Prospect Score61
Median56
Performance49
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 50; game-power evidence sits near the 37th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.148

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+2.6 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 36
Game Power-13.0 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 37

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 56
64 57 50 2026-06-25 · Median 54 2026-06-26 · Median 54 2026-06-28 · Median 54 2026-06-29 · Median 54 2026-06-30 · Median 54 2026-07-01 · Median 56 2026-07-03 · Median 58 2026-07-05 · Median 59 2026-07-07 · Median 58 2026-07-09 · Median 59 2026-07-11 · Median 60 2026-07-12 · Median 60 2026-07-14 · Median 60 2026-07-16 · Median 60 2026-07-21 · Median 59 2026-07-22 · Median 59 2026-07-23 · Median 59 2026-07-24 · Median 59 2026-07-25 · Median 59 2026-07-26 · Median 58 2026-07-27 · Median 58 2026-07-28 · Median 58 2026-07-29 · Median 58 2026-07-30 · Median 58 2026-07-31 · Median 58 2026-08-01 · Median 58 2026-08-03 · Median 58 2026-08-05 · Median 57 2026-08-07 · Median 57 2026-08-08 · Median 57 2026-08-09 · Median 57 2026-08-10 · Median 57 2026-08-11 · Median 57 2026-08-13 · Median 57 2026-08-14 · Median 56 2026-08-16 · Median 55 2026-08-17 · Median 55 2026-08-18 · Median 55 2026-08-19 · Median 55 2026-08-20 · Median 55 2026-08-22 · Median 55 2026-08-23 · Median 55.2 2026-08-25 · Median 55.2 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 56.3 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-06-25 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1456.3
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2856
2026-08-2756
2026-08-2555.2
2026-08-2355.2
2026-08-2255
2026-08-2055
2026-08-1955
2026-08-1855
2026-08-1755
2026-08-1655
2026-08-1456
2026-08-1357
2026-08-1157
2026-08-1057
2026-08-0957
2026-08-0857
2026-08-0757
2026-08-0557
2026-08-0358
2026-08-0158
2026-07-3158
2026-07-3058
2026-07-2958
2026-07-2858
2026-07-2758
2026-07-2658
2026-07-2559
2026-07-2459
2026-07-2359
2026-07-2259
2026-07-2159
2026-07-1660
2026-07-1460
2026-07-1260
2026-07-1160
2026-07-0959
2026-07-0758
2026-07-0559
2026-07-0358
2026-07-0156
2026-06-3054
2026-06-2954
2026-06-2854
2026-06-2654
2026-06-2554

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.148

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.381

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 33.6%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G99
PA423
AVG.233
OBP.376
SLG.381
OPS.757
HR13
SB17
BB%17.3%
K%33.6%

Corpus Christi Hooks · AA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
525661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 49

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence93
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production35.6
Historical 80% error band18–53
MLB arrival in 3 years32%
Productive MLB role in 3 years3%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit40Developmental
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed30Developmental
Defense icon
Defense40Developmental
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels156750510002615195.200.403.320.723
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Corpus Christi HooksAA99423344528012013447314217.233.376.381.757
2025Corpus Christi HooksAA2499808144031114213.175.333.338.671
2025Asheville TouristsHigh-A732972474561120123644847.247.370.441.812
20252 teams · TotalAll levels97396327537516015475810510.229.361.416.777
2024Asheville TouristsHigh-A31010120000020.200.200.200.400
2024Fayetteville WoodpeckersSingle-A88325272326012184541895.221.336.360.697
20242 teams · TotalAll levels91335282336212184541915.220.332.355.687
2023FCL AstrosFCL932231172017780.304.500.5221.022

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

Checklist appearances

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Houston Astros profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.