Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Aaron Munson

TOR · AA · P · Age 25

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score50.6#1,612 Overall
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Performance47Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor42Lower-end outcome
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Ceiling56High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
47Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.7 K/9Near expected range
Command4.0 BB/9Near expected range
Traffic prevention1.55 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh20Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection44.3
Projected Range20–69
Arrival Probability18%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 49
54 49 44 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 48.9 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-10-05 · Median 49 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0549
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1448.9
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0249