Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Aaron Walton

CLE · AA · OF · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score70.3#194 Overall
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Performance61Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor61Lower-end outcome
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Ceiling69High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
61Solid current performance
Power.226 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact26.4% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.392 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall50
Hit50
Power55
Run60
Field55
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection43.5
Projected Range26–61
Arrival Probability76%
Productive Role Probability19%
Player Background
OrganizationCleveland Guardians
LevelAA
PositionOF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 61 Latest recorded 65
70 63.5 57 2026-09-02 · Median 61 2026-09-03 · Median 61 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 65 2026-09-14 · Median 65.1 2026-09-15 · Median 65 2026-09-16 · Median 65 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 65 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 65 2026-09-22 · Median 65 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-09-25 · Median 65 2026-09-29 · Median 65 2026-09-30 · Median 65 2026-10-03 · Median 65 2026-10-04 · Median 65 2026-10-05 · Median 65 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 65

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0565
2026-10-0465
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2026-09-3065
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2026-09-0561
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2026-09-0261