Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Aaron Walton

CLE · AA · OF

Cleveland Guardians · Age at assessment: 22.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#198
Prospect Score70
Median65
Performance61
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 55; game-power evidence sits near the 84th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.226

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+12.1 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 62
Game Power+25.9 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 84

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 57 Latest recorded 65
71 57.5 44 2026-06-04 · Median 57 2026-06-05 · Median 56 2026-06-06 · Median 59 2026-06-07 · Median 59 2026-06-08 · Median 59 2026-06-09 · Median 59 2026-06-10 · Median 59 2026-06-11 · Median 59 2026-06-12 · Median 58 2026-06-13 · Median 59 2026-06-14 · Median 59 2026-06-15 · Median 59 2026-06-16 · Median 59 2026-06-17 · Median 58 2026-06-18 · Median 59 2026-06-19 · Median 58 2026-06-20 · Median 57 2026-06-21 · Median 57 2026-06-22 · Median 56 2026-06-23 · Median 56 2026-06-24 · Median 56 2026-06-25 · Median 56 2026-06-26 · Median 55 2026-06-28 · Median 55 2026-06-29 · Median 55 2026-06-30 · Median 55 2026-07-01 · Median 56 2026-07-03 · Median 58 2026-07-05 · Median 58 2026-07-07 · Median 58 2026-07-09 · Median 58 2026-07-11 · Median 58 2026-07-12 · Median 58 2026-07-14 · Median 58 2026-07-16 · Median 58 2026-07-21 · Median 48 2026-07-22 · Median 48 2026-07-23 · Median 60 2026-07-24 · Median 60 2026-07-25 · Median 60 2026-07-26 · Median 60 2026-07-27 · Median 60 2026-07-28 · Median 60 2026-07-29 · Median 61 2026-07-30 · Median 61 2026-07-31 · Median 60 2026-08-01 · Median 59 2026-08-03 · Median 60 2026-08-05 · Median 60 2026-08-07 · Median 61 2026-08-08 · Median 62 2026-08-09 · Median 62 2026-08-10 · Median 65 2026-08-11 · Median 67 2026-08-13 · Median 66 2026-08-14 · Median 66 2026-08-16 · Median 65 2026-08-17 · Median 65 2026-08-18 · Median 65 2026-08-19 · Median 63 2026-08-20 · Median 63 2026-08-22 · Median 61 2026-08-23 · Median 61.3 2026-08-25 · Median 61.3 2026-08-27 · Median 61 2026-08-28 · Median 61 2026-09-01 · Median 62 2026-09-02 · Median 61 2026-09-03 · Median 61 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 65 2026-09-14 · Median 65.1 2026-09-15 · Median 65 2026-09-16 · Median 65 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 65 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 65 2026-09-22 · Median 65 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 65

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2465
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2026-09-2165
2026-09-1965
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Metrics to follow

ISO 0.226

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.496

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 26.4%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G125
PA569
AVG.269
OBP.392
SLG.496
OPS.887
HR22
SB33
BB%12.7%
K%26.4%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
616569
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 61

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch69 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence92
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production43.5
Historical 80% error band26–61
MLB arrival in 3 years76%
Productive MLB role in 3 years19%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power55Avg
Speed icon
Speed60Above Avg
Defense icon
Defense55Avg
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall50Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels1670611219704158215.311.400.6231.023
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Akron RubberDucksAA462011663443141731265212.259.378.482.860
2026Lake County CaptainsHigh-A7936830268832211555469821.275.399.503.902
20262 teams · TotalAll levels12556946810212636222867215033.269.392.496.887
2025Lynchburg HillcatsSingle-A16716391551197216.238.324.397.721

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Cleveland Guardians profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.