Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Abel Sosa

MIN · DSL · OF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,473
Score51.7
Baseline50
Signal+18.1
Trend0.0
Floor41
Baseline50
Ceiling58
Confidence55 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Abel Sosa

MIN · DSL · OF

Minnesota Twins · Age at assessment: 17.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,473
Prospect Score51.7
Median50
Performance Signal+18.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
415058
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +18.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 50
55 50 45 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 50 2026-08-20 · Median 50 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 50 2026-08-25 · Median 50 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 49.8 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1449.8
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2850
2026-08-2750
2026-08-2550
2026-08-2350
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2050
2026-08-1950
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1751
2026-08-1651

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 55
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
415058
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +18.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence55
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection42.5
Projected range24–61
Arrival probability6%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.