Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Ace Reese

SEA · Single-A · 3B · Age 22

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score65.3#374 Overall
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Performance65Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor53Lower-end outcome
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Ceiling70High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
65Solid current performance
Offensive impact1.197 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
Contact12.0% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.530 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping52How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh8Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection50.2
Projected Range32–69
Arrival Probability8%
Productive Role Probability3%
Player Background
OrganizationSeattle Mariners
LevelSingle-A
Position3B
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 58 Latest recorded 61
65 59.5 54 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 61 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 60.9 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-09-25 · Median 61 2026-09-29 · Median 61 2026-09-30 · Median 61 2026-10-03 · Median 61 2026-10-04 · Median 61 2026-10-05 · Median 61 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0561
2026-10-0461
2026-10-0361
2026-09-3061
2026-09-2961
2026-09-2561
2026-09-2461
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1761
2026-09-1661
2026-09-1561
2026-09-1460.9
2026-09-0961
2026-09-0661
2026-09-0561
2026-09-0361
2026-09-0258