Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Adam Boucher

WSH · High-A · P · Age 25

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score31.8#4,326 Overall
Baseline34Most likely outcome
Performance27Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor25Lower-end outcome
Baseline34Most likely outcome
Ceiling42High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
27Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.1 K/9Near expected range
Command10.8 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention2.03 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping54How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid35Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection28.4
Projected Range4–53
Arrival Probability2%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 34
38 31 24 2026-09-02 · Median 28 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 34 2026-09-14 · Median 33.9 2026-09-15 · Median 34 2026-09-16 · Median 34 2026-09-17 · Median 34 2026-09-18 · Median 34 2026-09-19 · Median 34 2026-09-21 · Median 34 2026-09-22 · Median 34 2026-09-24 · Median 34 2026-09-25 · Median 34 2026-09-29 · Median 34 2026-09-30 · Median 34 2026-10-03 · Median 34 2026-10-04 · Median 34 2026-10-05 · Median 34 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 34

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0534
2026-10-0434
2026-10-0334
2026-09-3034
2026-09-2934
2026-09-2534
2026-09-2434
2026-09-2234
2026-09-2134
2026-09-1934
2026-09-1834
2026-09-1734
2026-09-1634
2026-09-1534
2026-09-1433.9
2026-09-0934
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0228