Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Adam Serwinowski

LAD · AA · P

Los Angeles Dodgers · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: L · Throws: L

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Pitch quality translating

Current bat-missing results are broadly aligned with the verified pitch-quality expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#447
Prospect Score64
Median58
Performance51
Trend+0.2%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 60; dominance evidence sits near the 60th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 10.6

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff-6.8 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 60
Command+2.4 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 44

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 58
63 57.5 52 2026-06-04 · Median 56 2026-06-05 · Median 56 2026-06-06 · Median 56 2026-06-07 · Median 56 2026-06-08 · Median 56 2026-06-09 · Median 56 2026-06-10 · Median 57 2026-06-11 · Median 57 2026-06-12 · Median 57 2026-06-13 · Median 57 2026-06-14 · Median 57 2026-06-15 · Median 56 2026-06-16 · Median 56 2026-06-17 · Median 56 2026-06-18 · Median 56 2026-06-19 · Median 56 2026-06-20 · Median 56 2026-06-21 · Median 57 2026-06-22 · Median 57 2026-06-23 · Median 57 2026-06-24 · Median 57 2026-06-25 · Median 57 2026-06-26 · Median 57 2026-06-28 · Median 59 2026-06-29 · Median 59 2026-06-30 · Median 59 2026-07-01 · Median 59 2026-07-03 · Median 58 2026-07-05 · Median 58 2026-07-07 · Median 58 2026-07-09 · Median 58 2026-07-11 · Median 58 2026-07-12 · Median 58 2026-07-14 · Median 58 2026-07-16 · Median 58 2026-07-21 · Median 58 2026-07-22 · Median 58 2026-07-23 · Median 58 2026-07-24 · Median 58 2026-07-25 · Median 58 2026-07-26 · Median 58 2026-07-27 · Median 58 2026-07-28 · Median 58 2026-07-29 · Median 58 2026-07-30 · Median 58 2026-07-31 · Median 59 2026-08-01 · Median 59 2026-08-03 · Median 58 2026-08-05 · Median 58 2026-08-07 · Median 58 2026-08-08 · Median 58 2026-08-09 · Median 58 2026-08-10 · Median 58 2026-08-11 · Median 58 2026-08-13 · Median 59 2026-08-14 · Median 59 2026-08-16 · Median 59 2026-08-17 · Median 59 2026-08-18 · Median 59 2026-08-19 · Median 58 2026-08-20 · Median 58 2026-08-22 · Median 58 2026-08-23 · Median 58.4 2026-08-25 · Median 58.4 2026-08-27 · Median 57 2026-08-28 · Median 57 2026-09-01 · Median 58 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 58.2 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1458.2
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0258
2026-09-0158
2026-08-2857
2026-08-2757
2026-08-2558.4
2026-08-2358.4
2026-08-2258
2026-08-2058
2026-08-1958
2026-08-1859
2026-08-1759
2026-08-1659
2026-08-1459
2026-08-1359
2026-08-1158
2026-08-1058
2026-08-0958
2026-08-0858
2026-08-0758
2026-08-0558
2026-08-0358
2026-08-0159
2026-07-3159
2026-07-3058
2026-07-2958
2026-07-2858
2026-07-2758
2026-07-2658
2026-07-2558
2026-07-2458
2026-07-2358
2026-07-2258
2026-07-2158
2026-07-1658
2026-07-1458
2026-07-1258
2026-07-1158
2026-07-0958
2026-07-0758
2026-07-0558
2026-07-0358
2026-07-0159
2026-06-3059
2026-06-2959
2026-06-2859
2026-06-2657
2026-06-2557
2026-06-2457
2026-06-2357
2026-06-2257
2026-06-2157
2026-06-2056
2026-06-1956
2026-06-1856
2026-06-1756
2026-06-1656
2026-06-1556
2026-06-1457
2026-06-1357
2026-06-1257
2026-06-1157
2026-06-1057
2026-06-0956
2026-06-0856
2026-06-0756
2026-06-0656
2026-06-0556
2026-06-0456

Metrics to follow

K/9 10.6

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 14.5%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 4.9

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G26
IP127.0
ERA5.31
WHIP1.43
K/910.6
BB/94.9
K-BB%14.5%

Tulsa Drillers · AA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range+0.2%
545863
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 51

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence93
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production43.5
Historical 80% error band21–66
MLB arrival in 3 years43%
Productive MLB role in 3 years6%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Slider icon
Slider60Above Avg
Splitter icon
Splitter45Fringe
Command icon
Control45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderSplitterCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Slider-Driven

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels103.8622011.295524101.117.71
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Tulsa DrillersAA965.3126260127.0113817519691501.4310.63
2025Tulsa DrillersAA009.001103.06530242.6712.00
2025Dayton DragonsHigh-A174.841817074.1684540939921.4411.14
2025Great Lakes LoonsHigh-A401.8366034.12377314441.0811.53
20253 teams · TotalAll levels574.0325240111.297575012551401.3611.28
2024Daytona TortugasSingle-A133.572525085.26436344451061.2711.14
2023ACL RedsACL003.62116027.1131211116431.0614.16
2022ACL RedsACL000.001001.01000112.009.00

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Los Angeles Dodgers profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.