Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Adolfo Oviedo

PIT · High-A · P · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score55.0#1,101 Overall
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Performance49Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor43Lower-end outcome
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Ceiling57High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
49Developing performance profile
Miss ability5.9 K/9Limited miss signal
Dominance6.0% K-BBNarrow strikeout-to-walk margin
Contact management0.8 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection39.4
Projected Range15–64
Arrival Probability5%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationPittsburgh Pirates
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 50
55 46 37 2026-09-02 · Median 41 2026-09-03 · Median 41 2026-09-05 · Median 41 2026-09-06 · Median 41 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 50.4 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-10-05 · Median 50 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0550
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1450.4
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0641
2026-09-0541
2026-09-0341
2026-09-0241