Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Adonys Guzman

BOS · Single-A · C

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,663
Score50.2
Baseline47
Signal+7.1
Trend0.0
Floor40
Baseline47
Ceiling55
Confidence58 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Adonys Guzman

BOS · Single-A · C

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 22.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,663
Prospect Score50.2
Median47
Performance Signal+7.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
404755
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 47
52 44 36 2026-08-16 · Median 41 2026-08-17 · Median 41 2026-08-18 · Median 41 2026-08-19 · Median 41 2026-08-20 · Median 41 2026-08-22 · Median 41 2026-08-23 · Median 40.6 2026-08-25 · Median 40.6 2026-08-27 · Median 41 2026-08-28 · Median 41 2026-09-01 · Median 41 2026-09-02 · Median 41 2026-09-03 · Median 41 2026-09-05 · Median 40 2026-09-06 · Median 40 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47.3 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447.3
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0640
2026-09-0540
2026-09-0341
2026-09-0241
2026-09-0141
2026-08-2841
2026-08-2741
2026-08-2540.6
2026-08-2340.6
2026-08-2241
2026-08-2041
2026-08-1941
2026-08-1841
2026-08-1741
2026-08-1641

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
404755
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection46.2
Projected range31–62
Arrival probability23%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.