Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Adonys Perez

ARI · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,264
Score53.4
Baseline50
Signal-4.8
Trend0.0
Floor44
Baseline50
Ceiling57
Confidence62 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Adonys Perez

ARI · AA · P

Arizona Diamondbacks · Age at assessment: 23.0 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,264
Prospect Score53.4
Median50
Performance Signal-4.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
445057
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 50
57 49.5 42 2026-07-09 · Median 53 2026-07-11 · Median 52 2026-07-12 · Median 52 2026-07-14 · Median 52 2026-07-16 · Median 52 2026-07-21 · Median 52 2026-07-22 · Median 52 2026-07-23 · Median 52 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.7 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-07-09 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1450.7
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-07-2352
2026-07-2252
2026-07-2152
2026-07-1652
2026-07-1452
2026-07-1252
2026-07-1152
2026-07-0953

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
445057
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection37.9
Projected range13–63
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.