Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Adrian Bohorquez

MIN · AA · P · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score71.6#164 Overall
Baseline68Most likely outcome
Performance63Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor64Lower-end outcome
Baseline68Most likely outcome
Ceiling73High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
63Solid current performance
Miss ability10.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.8 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.5 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball55
Slider50
Curveball50
Changeup40
Control45

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection44.0
Projected Range19–69
Arrival Probability28%
Productive Role Probability3%
Player Background
OrganizationMinnesota Twins
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 66 Latest recorded 68
73 67.5 62 2026-09-02 · Median 66 2026-09-03 · Median 66 2026-09-05 · Median 66 2026-09-06 · Median 66 2026-09-09 · Median 68 2026-09-14 · Median 68.9 2026-09-15 · Median 69 2026-09-16 · Median 69 2026-09-17 · Median 69 2026-09-18 · Median 69 2026-09-19 · Median 69 2026-09-21 · Median 68 2026-09-22 · Median 68 2026-09-24 · Median 68 2026-09-25 · Median 68 2026-09-29 · Median 68 2026-09-30 · Median 68 2026-10-03 · Median 68 2026-10-04 · Median 68 2026-10-05 · Median 68 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 68

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0568
2026-10-0468
2026-10-0368
2026-09-3068
2026-09-2968
2026-09-2568
2026-09-2468
2026-09-2268
2026-09-2168
2026-09-1969
2026-09-1869
2026-09-1769
2026-09-1669
2026-09-1569
2026-09-1468.9
2026-09-0968
2026-09-0666
2026-09-0566
2026-09-0366
2026-09-0266