Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Aiva Arquette

MIA · AA · SS · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score67.9#261 Overall
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Performance51Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor62Lower-end outcome
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Ceiling71High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
51Developing performance profile
Power.187 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact21.3% KNear expected range
Approach6.2% BBNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall55
Hit50
Power60
Run55
Field50
Arm60

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-21

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.8
Projected Range22–56
Arrival Probability37%
Productive Role Probability3%
Player Background
OrganizationMiami Marlins
LevelAA
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 67 Latest recorded 67
72 67 62 2026-09-02 · Median 67 2026-09-03 · Median 67 2026-09-05 · Median 67 2026-09-06 · Median 67 2026-09-09 · Median 67 2026-09-14 · Median 67.1 2026-09-15 · Median 66 2026-09-16 · Median 66 2026-09-17 · Median 66 2026-09-18 · Median 66 2026-09-19 · Median 66 2026-09-21 · Median 66 2026-09-22 · Median 66 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-09-25 · Median 67 2026-09-29 · Median 67 2026-09-30 · Median 67 2026-10-03 · Median 67 2026-10-04 · Median 67 2026-10-05 · Median 67 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 67

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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