Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Alberto Arias

BAL · DSL · P

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 18.8 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Performance Signal Only
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#2,771
Prospect Score43
Median42
Performance47
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
324251
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 47

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 42 Latest recorded 42
53 40.5 28 2026-06-04 · Median 42 2026-06-05 · Median 42 2026-06-06 · Median 32 2026-06-07 · Median 32 2026-06-08 · Median 32 2026-06-09 · Median 32 2026-06-10 · Median 32 2026-06-11 · Median 32 2026-06-12 · Median 32 2026-06-13 · Median 32 2026-06-14 · Median 32 2026-06-15 · Median 32 2026-06-16 · Median 32 2026-06-17 · Median 32 2026-06-18 · Median 32 2026-06-19 · Median 32 2026-06-20 · Median 32 2026-06-21 · Median 32 2026-06-22 · Median 32 2026-06-23 · Median 32 2026-06-24 · Median 32 2026-06-25 · Median 32 2026-06-26 · Median 32 2026-06-28 · Median 32 2026-06-29 · Median 32 2026-06-30 · Median 32 2026-07-01 · Median 32 2026-07-03 · Median 33 2026-07-05 · Median 37 2026-07-07 · Median 37 2026-07-09 · Median 37 2026-07-11 · Median 37 2026-07-12 · Median 37 2026-07-14 · Median 37 2026-07-16 · Median 37 2026-07-21 · Median 43 2026-07-22 · Median 43 2026-07-23 · Median 43 2026-07-24 · Median 42 2026-07-25 · Median 43 2026-07-26 · Median 43 2026-07-27 · Median 43 2026-07-28 · Median 43 2026-07-29 · Median 43 2026-07-30 · Median 43 2026-07-31 · Median 43 2026-08-01 · Median 43 2026-08-03 · Median 43 2026-08-05 · Median 49 2026-08-07 · Median 45 2026-08-08 · Median 45 2026-08-09 · Median 45 2026-08-10 · Median 45 2026-08-11 · Median 45 2026-08-13 · Median 45 2026-08-14 · Median 42 2026-08-16 · Median 40 2026-08-17 · Median 40 2026-08-18 · Median 40 2026-08-19 · Median 40 2026-08-20 · Median 40 2026-08-22 · Median 40 2026-08-23 · Median 40.1 2026-08-25 · Median 40.1 2026-08-27 · Median 40 2026-08-28 · Median 40 2026-09-01 · Median 40 2026-09-02 · Median 40 2026-09-03 · Median 40 2026-09-05 · Median 40 2026-09-06 · Median 40 2026-09-09 · Median 42 2026-09-14 · Median 42 2026-09-15 · Median 42 2026-09-16 · Median 42 2026-09-17 · Median 42 2026-09-18 · Median 42 2026-09-19 · Median 42 2026-09-21 · Median 42 2026-09-22 · Median 42 2026-09-24 · Median 42 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 42

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2442
2026-09-2242
2026-09-2142
2026-09-1942
2026-09-1842
2026-09-1742
2026-09-1642
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2026-09-1442
2026-09-0942
2026-09-0640
2026-09-0540
2026-09-0340
2026-09-0240
2026-09-0140
2026-08-2840
2026-08-2740
2026-08-2540.1
2026-08-2340.1
2026-08-2240
2026-08-2040
2026-08-1940
2026-08-1840
2026-08-1740
2026-08-1640
2026-08-1442
2026-08-1345
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2026-08-0549
2026-08-0343
2026-08-0143
2026-07-3143
2026-07-3043
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2026-07-2843
2026-07-2743
2026-07-2643
2026-07-2543
2026-07-2442
2026-07-2343
2026-07-2243
2026-07-2143
2026-07-1637
2026-07-1437
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2026-07-1137
2026-07-0937
2026-07-0737
2026-07-0537
2026-07-0333
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2026-06-2132
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2026-06-1932
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2026-06-1432
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2026-06-1032
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2026-06-0632
2026-06-0542
2026-06-0442

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G11
IP33.0
ERA2.73
WHIP1.27
K/99.0
BB/94.4
K-BB%12.1%

DSL Orioles Black · DSL · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
324251
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 47

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 38
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence49
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production49.5
Historical 80% error band25–74
MLB arrival in 3 years2%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026DSL Orioles BlackDSL212.73116033.0261510016331.279.00
2025DSL Orioles BlackDSL100.001003.00000030.009.00

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More Baltimore Orioles profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.