Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Alex Cornwell

STL · AAA · P · Age 27

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score12.7#6,355 Overall
Baseline21Most likely outcome
Performance47Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline21Most likely outcome
Ceiling33High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
47Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping37How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited90Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationSt. Louis Cardinals
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 22 Latest recorded 21 Change -0.7
26 21.5 17 2026-09-02 · Median 21.7 2026-09-03 · Median 21.7 2026-09-05 · Median 21.7 2026-09-06 · Median 21.7 2026-09-09 · Median 21.8 2026-09-14 · Median 21.1 2026-09-15 · Median 21.1 2026-09-16 · Median 21 2026-09-17 · Median 21 2026-09-18 · Median 21 2026-09-19 · Median 21 2026-09-21 · Median 21 2026-09-22 · Median 21 2026-09-24 · Median 21 2026-09-25 · Median 21 2026-09-29 · Median 21 2026-09-30 · Median 21 2026-10-03 · Median 21 2026-10-04 · Median 21 2026-10-05 · Median 21 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 21

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0521
2026-10-0421
2026-10-0321
2026-09-3021
2026-09-2921
2026-09-2521
2026-09-2421
2026-09-2221
2026-09-2121
2026-09-1921
2026-09-1821
2026-09-1721
2026-09-1621
2026-09-1521.1
2026-09-1421.1
2026-09-0921.8
2026-09-0621.7
2026-09-0521.7
2026-09-0321.7
2026-09-0221.7