Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Alex Sosa

ATH · Single-A · C

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,771
Score49.2
Baseline48
Signal+6.4
Trend-0.2
Floor38
Baseline48
Ceiling60
Confidence44 Risk37 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Alex Sosa

ATH · Single-A · C

Athletics · Age at assessment: 21.9 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,771
Prospect Score49.2
Median48
Performance Signal+6.4
Trend-0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.2
384860
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 48
53 45 37 2026-08-20 · Median 41 2026-08-22 · Median 41 2026-08-23 · Median 43.8 2026-08-25 · Median 43.8 2026-08-27 · Median 42 2026-08-28 · Median 42 2026-09-01 · Median 42 2026-09-02 · Median 42 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 48.2 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.2
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0242
2026-09-0142
2026-08-2842
2026-08-2742
2026-08-2543.8
2026-08-2343.8
2026-08-2241
2026-08-2041

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 44
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 37
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.2
384860
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 37
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence44
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.